Not all NFL odds markets are created equal and there is plenty of value to be had with shopping around and getting the best price. But that’s just one aspect of creating a profitable touchdown card week to week. 

It was another one-for-three week last week with our NFL picks, cashing a lone ticket worth +190. This is moving week, however, and I’ve got my eye on an indoor running back who could have all the carries, a tight end coming off the bye paying nearly +300, and I’m backing an MVP candidate to use his tools to rush one in for +200. 

Here are my three best NFL Week 15 NFL player prop TD picks.

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The Jaguars and Falcons square off in their last preseason game on Friday night as both teams look to finalize their rosters. 

Trevor Lawrence is expected to play multiple series for Jacksonville, then Jags backup Mac Jones will look to build on his strong performance from last week. Atlanta will be resting the majority of their key starters, as they’re protecting against injury.

These personnel decisions are playing heavily into the betting markets as well as my Jaguars vs. Falcons predictions and NFL picks for August 23. 

Jaguars vs Falcons prediction

My best betJaguars -7 (-110 at FanDuel)

My analysis

It’s been a productive preseason for the Jacksonville Jaguars despite Trevor Lawrence playin…

The last three meetings between Leicester and Manchester United at the King Power have been about stepping closer to glory – two Premier League duels where qualification for the Champions League was on the line, and a FA Cup quarter-final in March – but this one is more about getting back on the right track after stuttering starts to their seasons. Injuries in defence should harden both teams’ commitment to attack; this has the ingredients for a goal-fest. Paul Doyle

Saturday 3pm

Venue King Power Stadium

Last season Leicester 2 Manchester United 2

Referee Craig Pawson

This season G5 Y16 R1 3.4 cards/game

Odd…

Defeat was a disaster, but it was the aftermath that made international headlines: Milan’s players and manager silently facing their supporters in the away section of Spezia’s Stadio Alberto Picco while one fan addressed them with a monologue. There were no TV microphones close enough to listen in but bowed heads and solemn expressions made it appear as an act of submission: disobedient students being scolded by a master.

Those present told it differently. “What happened beneath the Curva was something positive,” said Stefano Pioli. “They were only motivating us, pushing us to give our all.” The defender Simon Kjær echoed that sentiment, adding: “Our fans have surprised me in lots of good ways since we won the league. They hav…

West Ham, despite having no reason to, have sucked for the better part of a year now. Because of this, today they’ve finally decided to fire manager Slaven Bilić. Probably a smart move. What probably isn’t a smart move is entrusting this squad of very talented attackers to David Moyes, an old, stodgy coach whose only talent as of late appears to be taking a pristine managerial reputation and turning it to shit in record time. Bilić had a great start to his West Ham managerial career back in the 2015-16 season. Those where the heady days, back when Dimitri Payet was going Super Saiyan every weekend and the Hammers were flirting with the Champions League places. Then Payet got fed up with England’s rain or shitty food or whatever and more or less quit trying the following season, …

My family is woefully short on Christmas traditions. This is largely due to our being a small unit consisting of zero children or Christians, the two things that seem to make this particular holiday go 'round. But we like kids and Christs just fine, and everybody likes days off in the middle of the week, so we're trying to be as festive as possible. So I paid $25 for 18 inches' worth of tree-shaped pine bough at Whole Foods last week, my wife ordered a DVD of Emmet Otter's Jug-Band Christmas, and we've been hitting the yule-log channel pretty hard. The lights that hang on our bar all year have been rebranded "Christmas lights" for the month of December. We're getting there.
One thing we're still missing, though, is a family-tradition holiday…